Mental Biases, Fallacies & Strange Effects

Survivorship Bias

Swimmer’s Body Illusion

Clustering Illusion

Social Proof

Sunk Cost Fallacy

Reciprocity

Confirmation Bias

Authority Bias

Contrast Effect

Availability Bias

It’ll-Get-Worse-Before-It-Gets-Better

Story Bias

Hindsight Bias

Overconfidence Effect

Chauffeur Knowledge

Illusion of Control

Incentive Super-Response Tendency

Regression to the Mean

Outcome Bias

Paradox of Choice

Liking Bias

Endowment Effect

Coincidence

Groupthink

Neglect of Probability

Scarcity Error

Base-Rate Neglect

Gambler’s Fallacy

The Anchor

Induction

Loss Aversion

Social Loafing

Exponential Growth

Winner’s Curse

Fundamental Attribution Error

False Causality

Halo Effect

Alternative Paths

Forecast Illusion

Conjunction Fallacy

Framing

Action Bias

Omission Bias

Self-Serving Bias

Hedonic Treadmill

Self-Selection Bias

Association Bias

Beginner’s Luck

Cognitive Dissonance

Hyperbolic Discounting

“Because” Justification

Decision Fatigue

Contagion Bias

The Problem with Averages

Motivation Crowding

Twaddle Tendency

Will Rogers Phenomenon

Information Bias

Effort Justification

The Law of Small Numbers

Expectations

Simple Logic

Forer Effect

Volunteer’s Folly

Affect Heuristic

Introspection Illusion

Inability to Close Doors

Neomania

Sleeper Effect

Alternative Blindness

Social Comparison Bias

Primacy and Recency Effects

Not-Invented-Here Syndrome

The Black Swan

Domain Dependence

False-Consensus Effect

Falsification of History

In-Group Out-Group Bias

Ambiguity Aversion

Default Effect

Fear of Regret

Salience Effect

House-Money Effect

Procrastination

Envy

Personification

Illusion of Attention

Strategic Misrepresentation

Overthinking

Planning Fallacy

Deformation Professionnelle

Zeigarnik Effect

Illusion of Skill

Feature-Positive Effect

Cherry Picking

Fallacy of the Single Cause

Intention-to-Treat Error

News Illusion

From The Art of Thinking Clearly, by Rolf Dobelli